TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Universidad Central de Venezuela FCof Santos FC, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,334 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Santos FC37c2,703$1,000 inLost-$1,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC10c1,001$101 inLost-$100.965,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC63c793$500 inWon+$293.412,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC63c521.49$329 inWon+$192.954456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC67c515.03$347 inWon+$168.242,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santos FC10c420.44$41 inLost-$40.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC63c410.74$259 inWon+$151.971,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC62c272.23$169 inWon+$103.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC63c228.4$144 inWon+$84.513941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Santos FC31c222.41$69 inLost-$69.312737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC62c96$60 inWon+$36.4831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC71c64.96$46 inWon+$18.9855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC48c64.06$31 inWon+$33.0212646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Santos FC29c57$16 inLost-$16.352,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC64c53.31$34 inWon+$19.2240451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC63c38.33$24 inWon+$14.1827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC67c34$23 inWon+$11.1289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC50c30.08$15 inWon+$15.041,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC53c19$10 inWon+$960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.