South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06fbf5d0b02c66881805d67c822e6564cc8141b1e3ffa1e9dcf09b0fa78c8c77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 79c | 3,907$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,197$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 1,769$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 25c | 1,537$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.63 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 50c | 1,430$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.24 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 44c | 1,329$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.09 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 929.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 919$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.3 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Under | 25c | 859$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 61c | 843.71$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.21 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 20c | 587.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.33 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 363$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 75c | 347.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 300.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 79c | 266.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 236.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 184.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 43c | 172.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…36eabacked Over | 73c | 95.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…6bd7backed Over | 34c | 87.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 85.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 38c | 80.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 52c | 75.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 75.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 70c | 61.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 80c | 53.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 47.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 43c | 46.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Under | 33c | 42.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 78c | 36.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 66c | 25.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…e3f5backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 23.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 69c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.