South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d2405b1d1bd620676d4a21aac917469dda1e2c653e04441b2dd4611fd7395c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 6,721$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 60c | 4,092$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.89 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 41c | 3,440$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.8 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 2,391$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 2c | 1,833$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 46c | 1,707$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 66c | 1,618$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.57 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 39c | 1,610$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.22 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 1,292$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 1,211$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 38c | 918.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.73 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 76c | 718.41$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.98 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 57c | 702.59$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.24 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 41c | 645.89$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.77 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 56c | 610.68$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.88 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 7c | 526.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 7c | 525.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.64 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 68c | 439.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 393.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.97 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 45c | 330.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 322.95$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 69c | 289.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 60c | 271.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over | 41c | 267.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 11c | 256.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…53cdbacked Under | 73c | 240.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 63c | 229.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 56c | 229.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 56c | 193.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 182.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 51c | 172.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 63c | 166.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…e929backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 69c | 124.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…36eabacked Under | 80c | 119.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 40c | 118.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Over | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Over | 29c | 115.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 37c | 105.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 39c | 103.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 20c | 96.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 24c | 93.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 30c | 67.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 79c | 63.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 23c | 45.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 52c | 44.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 35c | 30.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Over | 38c | 26.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 62c | 23.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 68c | 20.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 77c | 17.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.