TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c69,721$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.1219340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under0c51,822$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under34c33,519$11,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,292.912639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under0c29,845$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.851643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,690$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.813363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c6,450$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.052437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c5,443$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.863818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over49c5,012$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.348953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under0c3,950$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.625750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under1c2,486$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.522025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over50c2,063$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.625832.8%19 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over49c2,052$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.685244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c1,779$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.138849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c1,577$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.542,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over52c1,555$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.0722949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over51c1,011$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.592020%4 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over52c1,001$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.021931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51039649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under10c843.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0820638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under50c654.63$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.5613644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under23c494.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over49c412.26$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under50c393.25$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6312242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under52c330$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.335751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over50c320.44$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.226349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…fcefbacked Under53c314.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under49c202.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Over52c190.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b0…551abacked Under53c189.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over69c181.96$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6821854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over49c173.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.471450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Over52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c164.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.761,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under7c163.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.922352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under40c163.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under40c149.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2925155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c141.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.311,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c123$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1993446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c109.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9374739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under15c109.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9570842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over51c97.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.922152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c89.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8253946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.232654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c68.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.511,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over48c58.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1926348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c56.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over50c55.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0534847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over49c50.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.193855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under52c50.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over46c42.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8347155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…1ca6backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+72.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over50c41.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.632729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd775…df46backed Under35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over72c39.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.985669.6%39 W · 17 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206454.7%35 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7236352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Over49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.894348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under52c38.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.959265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa8…7783backed Over79c35.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over50c33.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.999851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over71c25.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.410454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2527148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135060%30 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Under49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under54c23.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9310340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under52c22.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.712956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under51c22.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.376349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9891…8949backed Under52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.