TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shandong Taishan FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed Shandong Taishan FC57c8,774$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.92661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Shandong Taishan FC51c6,700$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.5935947.4%170 W · 189 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Qingdao Hainiu FC52c5,889$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.153363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Qingdao Hainiu FC49c5,166$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.491,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC46c3,039$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.442,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Qingdao Hainiu FC43c3,030$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.5830731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Shandong Taishan FC55c2,712$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.341,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Shandong Taishan FC52c2,095$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.9184342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Shandong Taishan FC50c1,606$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.388955.1%49 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC46c1,236$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.81,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC49c1,027$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.5613644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC43c991.12$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.21,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC46c832.28$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.615,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC46c815$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.311,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Shandong Taishan FC49c533.44$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.053138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Shandong Taishan FC48c398.61$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.522548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC49c398.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Shandong Taishan FC52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Qingdao Hainiu FC45c380.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.584158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC47c369.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2654746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC39c342.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.972342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shandong Taishan FC56c339.06$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.591,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Qingdao Hainiu FC53c290.65$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8735751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Shandong Taishan FC48c277.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.196450%32 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Shandong Taishan FC48c215$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.084257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daa…ae42backed Shandong Taishan FC48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC43c197.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.812,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Shandong Taishan FC58c191$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.221,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Shandong Taishan FC62c188.05$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4672944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Shandong Taishan FC27c157.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.329339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4eb6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC46c113.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.675238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Qingdao Hainiu FC36c109.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6426136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Shandong Taishan FC56c103.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.577448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Shandong Taishan FC54c100.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4476239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4742451.2%217 W · 207 L+2.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Qingdao Hainiu FC45c95.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7547155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Shandong Taishan FC52c92.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4528253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.414823%34 W · 114 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC55c79.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Qingdao Hainiu FC48c73.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.285261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5da…4305backed Qingdao Hainiu FC52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Shandong Taishan FC53c68.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Shandong Taishan FC50c67.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.64949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5427…94c0backed Shandong Taishan FC48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Qingdao Hainiu FC45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shandong Taishan FC63c59.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0459342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Shandong Taishan FC63c59.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8177056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2cd…f455backed Shandong Taishan FC31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Qingdao Hainiu FC53c49.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Shandong Taishan FC52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.522552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Qingdao Hainiu FC57c48.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3837552%195 W · 180 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Shandong Taishan FC38c45.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.198342.2%35 W · 48 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Shandong Taishan FC56c43.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.122857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5413956.8%79 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Qingdao Hainiu FC35c41.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.659545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Shandong Taishan FC48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.678941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Shandong Taishan FC48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Shandong Taishan FC48c40.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.243571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Shandong Taishan FC53c39.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.488859.1%52 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC53c38.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.491,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac06…29dcbacked Shandong Taishan FC49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Qingdao Hainiu FC40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Shandong Taishan FC55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Shandong Taishan FC46c36.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6390544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…eb9dbacked Shandong Taishan FC48c35.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC46c33.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4915352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cb4…a391backed Shandong Taishan FC49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Shandong Taishan FC56c30.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4510654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC48c30.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Shandong Taishan FC49c30.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Qingdao Hainiu FC54c27.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Shandong Taishan FC48c27.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.376349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Shandong Taishan FC50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Qingdao Hainiu FC46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Shandong Taishan FC64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Qingdao Hainiu FC50c20.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.317058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.