Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6e9fb8feae8d2c597e248a7f617f8d00789e36ffe475dd976898c15b032d539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 65c | 2,178$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 2,050$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 1,914$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.09 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 1,126$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.59 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 936.89$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.3 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 767.5$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 609.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 65c | 605$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 18c | 537.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 479.93$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 412.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 49c | 408.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 358.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 79c | 269$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 250.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…ca16backed Under | 80c | 212.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 37c | 193.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 9c | 130.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Under | 64c | 114.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 79c | 79.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…03c8backed Under | 55c | 54.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 34c | 51.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 43c | 46.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…b8b6backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 38c | 31.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.