Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68590fd58898bbbb69fe42d4f3eafa405cb6cc83a7b45231a193bcd67691611c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 30c | 1,673$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 72c | 1,227$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.57 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 1,122$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.08 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 452.09$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 24c | 337.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 27c | 310.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 302$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 70c | 173.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 72c | 139.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 137.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 28c | 131.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 69c | 94.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 23c | 76.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 73c | 60.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 71c | 51.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 28c | 50.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd775…df46backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.