Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe869ef046da043744016a7037751d0088f23b6ec09d15346f0129d061295972d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Over | 43c | 6,956$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,701$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 2,942$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.93 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.02 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 1,287$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.54 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 52c | 1,221$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 44c | 989.21$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 985.43$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.67 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 893.55$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.23 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 68c | 804.79$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 45c | 574.28$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.73 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 541.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 484.62$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 482$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 475.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…74d3backed Over | 50c | 394.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 60c | 379.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 352.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 351$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 25c | 350$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 68c | 343.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 30c | 330.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 52c | 319.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 313.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 24c | 264.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 65c | 263.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Over | 38c | 259.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 256$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.05 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 16c | 248.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 207.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 190.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 69c | 157.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 156.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 46c | 152.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 34c | 152$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 123.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 39c | 99.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 57c | 86.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 65c | 85.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 23c | 85.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 46c | 84.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 75.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 64.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 41c | 62.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 61.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 60.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 34c | 55.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 49.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 48.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 63c | 47.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed Over | 43c | 46.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 46.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 57c | 45.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 45c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 41.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…740bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 45c | 39.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 80c | 37.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 57c | 27.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…4042backed Under | 54c | 26.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 26.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 51c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 53c | 25.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Over | 43c | 25.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 58c | 25.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…a274backed Under | 58c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5this page
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Columbus Crew O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Columbus Crew O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.