TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59f4…c1f1backed Over43c6,956$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c3,701$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.693,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c2,942$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.9398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c1,930$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.0270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c1,287$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.5472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under52c1,221$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.114062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over44c989.21$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.510628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c985.43$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c893.55$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over68c804.79$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over45c574.28$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.736346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over48c555$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.46124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c541.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.111,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c484.62$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17016453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over46c482$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c475.65$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.621,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…74d3backed Over50c394.1$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under60c379.55$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.822171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over41c352.11$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c351$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.451,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under25c350$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+61.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under68c343.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.92548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under30c330.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.152425%6 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under52c319.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5920133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over45c313.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c264.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6436247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over65c263.01$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Over38c259.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under57c256$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over75c250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0531446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under16c248.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.979747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.614349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c207.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-72.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c190.11$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3324046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over69c157.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c156.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under46c152.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.344850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over34c152$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9227058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over45c144$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6635247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c123.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3922841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under51c107$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over39c99.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9430957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under53c92.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.523262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under57c86.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0512650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under65c85.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under23c85.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.142441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5518456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under46c84.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.863145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c75.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.281,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c64.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7482044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…79b1backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over41c62.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4710042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c61.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c60.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.461,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over39c56.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over34c55.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8846156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.311055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c49.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over42c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over45c48.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over63c47.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under53c47.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f0…fd92backed Over43c46.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c46.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under57c45.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4913464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over45c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.565326.4%14 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c41.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3e…740bbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Over45c39.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.784551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under80c37.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7325652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.059346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under57c27.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.585954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2a…4042backed Under54c26.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under50c26.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4316456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over51c25.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0614657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over53c25.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55303.3%1 W · 29 L-12.3wins-0.41per pick44cpaid-94.4%equal weight25-0.22 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Over43c25.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+61.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under58c25.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5719642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f94…a274backed Under58c25.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.