TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,305 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over45c888.89$400 inWon+$488.892138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under55c748.89$412 inLost-$411.8910358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c542.22$355 inWon+$187.41,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over65c303$197 inWon+$106.0552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c260.54$175 inWon+$85.1536247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over49c196$97 inWon+$99.132751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c158$87 inLost-$87.083,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under34c155.93$53 inLost-$53.54850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over68c100$68 inWon+$31.7544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c73.14$37 inLost-$37.246156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c63$32 inLost-$31.592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over49c51.01$25 inWon+$26.012832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over51c49.97$26 inWon+$24.297634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c48$24 inLost-$24.4880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under51c30$15 inLost-$15.34748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.