Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b4934df52851b743799e6fe9032806a01892bf94502c01ed0b269a79d9afe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 5,569$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.58 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,799$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.92 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,900$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 876.11$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 840.16$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 616$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 71c | 600.51$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 337.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 290.76$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 33c | 256$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 247.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 32c | 232.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 219.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 68c | 215$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 79c | 202.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 67c | 199.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 190.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 34c | 142.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 33c | 123.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 34c | 115.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 74c | 109.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 101.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 73c | 98.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 32c | 87.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 22c | 80.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed No | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 34c | 55.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 76c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 43.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…0e83backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…5135backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 67c | 36.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 33c | 31.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Columbus Crew O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Columbus Crew O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.