Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c608335f70f7fd6df51eb9be482fba18cce7dfba94dec5b4f543a70e3cff4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over | 56c | 42,533$23,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,818.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 53c | 37,795$19,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,864.26 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 16,112$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,181.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 38c | 13,436$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.9 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 46c | 10,355$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 43c | 4,598$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 47c | 4,235$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 44c | 3,806$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.94 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 3,172$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.97 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 3,078$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 3,025$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.78 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 2,702$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.94 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 2,500$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.7 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 79c | 2,073$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.34 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 63c | 1,937$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.34 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 1,674$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.55 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 21c | 1,406$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 1,136$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.14 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 1,136$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.14 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 1,111$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.67 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 1,004$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.24 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 826.53$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 64c | 780.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 766.74$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 43c | 664.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 70c | 659$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 27c | 632.57$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 64c | 582.52$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 526.11$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 520.3$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 45c | 404$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 68c | 393$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 70c | 384.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 45c | 375.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 346$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under | 26c | 315.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 33c | 294.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 46c | 265.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 47c | 262.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 44c | 256.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 239.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 44c | 220.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 69c | 184.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 45c | 182.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 65c | 177$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 47c | 175.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Over | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 157.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 49c | 155.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 69c | 153.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 153.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 44c | 149.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 69c | 132.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 129.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 125.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 29c | 124.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 123$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 45c | 122.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 121.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 44c | 110.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 110.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 73c | 100.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…37f9backed Over | 80c | 98.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 94.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 77.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 47c | 74.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 72c | 70.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 70.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 45c | 61.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…17c6backed Over | 57c | 48.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 30c | 47.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 44.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5this page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.