Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15562797ee7b43780f4d4b04585ee8a48a80683152cd906f3933b89625638c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 5,603$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.06 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 55c | 3,924$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 71c | 2,005$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.6 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 30c | 1,725$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.64 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 1,644$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.04 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 960.77$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.4 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 69c | 875$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 29c | 731.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.1 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 630.3$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.83 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 530$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 403.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed No | 26c | 334.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed No | 33c | 278.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 23c | 190.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 187$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 54c | 173.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked No | 67c | 154.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 146.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 36c | 122.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 116.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 115.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 49c | 105.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 103.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 29c | 97.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 69c | 94.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 86.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Yes | 67c | 74.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 74.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 43c | 67.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 68c | 67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked Yes | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 78c | 44.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 68c | 36.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 69c | 31.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 75c | 25.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.