Mls · resolved market

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd415d4a6c128b45a709411058e75935d361671b847fd4425c790367ca3d37f

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,829 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.98	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	43c	7,374$3,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,145.16	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Under	66c	5,347$3,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,826.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Under	62c	4,997$3,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,887.69	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	60c	4,556$2,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,821.62	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	43c	3,960$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.11	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	35c	3,925$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.71	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over	34c	3,495$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.26	146	57.5%84 W · 62 L	+14.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	48c	3,176$1,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,664	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	48c	2,659$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.11	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	52c	2,554$1,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.18	240	46.7%112 W · 128 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	52c	2,112$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.89	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	57c	1,753$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.31	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under	47c	1,117$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.16	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	1,117$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.28	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	42c	1,068$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.23	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over	38c	1,059$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.57	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	56c	940.91$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.69	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	59c	925.35$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.36	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under	47c	638.29$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.29	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under	59c	600$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under	65c	599.98$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.99	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over	32c	499.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	67c	495.65$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.35	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under	70c	428.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	41c	391.34$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.03	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	53c	381.57$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.3	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over	42c	359.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under	65c	345.35$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.99	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over	36c	322$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.07	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	56c	302.81$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.25	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	47c	300$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under	48c	292.87$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.87	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	55c	263.78$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.6	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under	77c	256.13$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-35%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	51c	237.3$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.66	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	59c	233.49$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.65	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under	43c	232.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over	31c	221.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.82	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	35c	212.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.85	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	55c	205.45$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.65	239	53.6%128 W · 111 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	47c	191.13$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.15	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.5wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	15c	190.68$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over	53c	185.18$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+197%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	31c	160.76$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	30c	157.2$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.81	287	21.6%62 W · 225 L	-29.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over	32c	157$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.24	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	68c	156.18$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.98	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…85fbbacked Under	60c	155.6$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	55c	144$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	33c	142$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.86	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Under	64c	139.72$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	42c	138.42$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	68c	131.18$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.91	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	37c	129.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over	32c	125$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	36c	123.4$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under	50c	114.21$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.11	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Under	59c	113.56$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.56	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	47c	112.77$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	47c	108.51$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.51	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…bf43backed Under	55c	102.49$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under	47c	95.74$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	47c	91.49$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.49	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over	21c	89.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.21per pick	31cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over	36c	83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	46c	82.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.11	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	50c	79.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	48c	78.48$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.52	472	40.7%192 W · 280 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over	45c	77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.59	126	67.5%85 W · 41 L	+11.2wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over	50c	76.14$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Over	46c	71.74$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	52c	70.41$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.67	202	52%105 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over	38c	69.63$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	30c	66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	54c	62.78$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.88	258	51.2%132 W · 126 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	67c	60.98$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.38	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf6…baf9backed Over	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over	38c	57.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over	36c	55.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	38.5%60 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9620…674cbacked Over	34c	53.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	77c	51.47$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.02	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under	50c	51.37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Under	52c	50.01$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	43c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	49c	49.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over	40c	47.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	59c	44.72$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	67c	39.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	204	49%100 W · 104 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	46c	39.76$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.63	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	46c	39.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	307	35.2%108 W · 199 L	-32.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	60c	39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	50c	38.91$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.39	443	50.6%224 W · 219 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	54c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5this page
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Orlando City SC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event