TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
AFC Ajaxof AFC Ajax, FK Vojvodina Novi Sad
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad54c1,276$690 inLost-$690.022,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed AFC Ajax46c1,200$552 inWon+$6489538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed AFC Ajax37c930.9$349 inWon+$582.031,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Vojvodina Novi Sad54c872.85$471 inLost-$471.3496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed AFC Ajax46c865.67$398 inWon+$467.465563.6%35 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad62c713.58$442 inLost-$442.53,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked AFC Ajax44c335.02$149 inWon+$186.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad55c208.36$115 inLost-$114.61,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad55c183.74$101 inLost-$100.691,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad64c156.25$100 inLost-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad58c137.95$80 inLost-$79.9855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad57c129$74 inLost-$73.5331842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked AFC Ajax40c70.9$29 inWon+$42.277855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed AFC Ajax46c67.9$31 inWon+$36.6765549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad54c60.5$33 inLost-$32.672,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked AFC Ajax47c60$28 inWon+$31.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed AFC Ajax45c53.33$24 inWon+$29.3323653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad66c29.64$20 inLost-$19.6285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad55c21.62$12 inLost-$11.891,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed FK Vojvodina Novi Sad62c20.05$12 inLost-$12.4358061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.