TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AFC Ajax vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba57…1e84backed Over51c1,478$754 inWon+$724.361533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c967.59$474 inLost-$474.122,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost-$20015544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over28c321$91 inWon+$230.294082.5%33 W · 7 L+11.3wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+65.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under72c142.8$103 inLost-$102.5245348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Under50c100$50 inLost-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under72c100$72 inLost-$7279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c83$59 inLost-$58.9335944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c81.03$38 inLost-$38.241,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon+$26.62653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under77c48.73$37 inLost-$37.4231856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c45$22 inWon+$23.42,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under52c40$21 inLost-$20.87650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over50c25$13 inWon+$12.527554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.