WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc250cc5aa33fc545b6a97f03d58d73d938a2021b55dc2fa13dacdf8c1d40eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 2,385$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.05 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 53c | 2,257$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.01 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 2,239$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.85 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 1,102$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.94 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 849.42$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 768.17$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Over | 54c | 462.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Under | 50c | 269.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 204.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 178$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Over | 49c | 113.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 80.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 68.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 65.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 38c | 57.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 52.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 40.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 40.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…9163backed Under | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 58c | 34.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.