WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede1f1cb95b2e5f2cf33ebc1b32b214a2112a972523ed26098d517705e9f7166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Minnesota Lynx, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 12,660$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.64 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 5,052$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.17 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 4,365$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 2,480$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.3 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 1,731$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.81 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 1,534$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,052$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 986.54$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 769.53$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 749.39$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 625$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 540.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 235.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 179.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 177$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 101.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 34c | 66.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 64.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 56.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 55.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Minnesota Lynx | 69c | 51.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 36.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 20.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…34f2backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.