WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4c4f7bfe85128c77b621cdf85efa6fef4d385224dc82e7e4c11fef2a1b6777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Minnesota Lynx, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 11,954$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.46 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 6,183$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.49 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 2,965$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.37 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Minnesota Lynx | 31c | 2,504$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 2,000$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.46 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 967.53$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 68c | 930.65$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.31 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 69c | 900$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 580.81$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 558.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 336.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 222.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 178.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 141.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 131.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 122.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…05f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 86.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 67.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 64.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 62.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 29.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Connecticut Sun | 77c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.