WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6e34fc717baa6a881238c3a52526726d934d224b226e13b3786453c49291ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 56c | 13,868$7,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.69 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 54c | 7,494$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.5 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Over | 48c | 6,413$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 5,297$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.94 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 4,396$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.2 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 3,997$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.31 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 3,208$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.61 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 3,016$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.94 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 1,375$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.15 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 47c | 858.65$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 45c | 782.3$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.62 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 54c | 555.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 451.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 11c | 446.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 48c | 412.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 388.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 386.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 376.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 355.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 302.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 48c | 164.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 160.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 50c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 67c | 109.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 105.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Under | 66c | 100.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Over | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 56c | 85.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 81.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 60.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 59.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 51c | 55.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 55c | 54.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 50.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…837abacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.