WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd2dd9976868e48ef6390d670d94bd918818125add48a55c8c9ee5878282fd59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Minnesota Lynx, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked Connecticut Sun | 60c | 3,380$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 34c | 2,507$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Connecticut Sun | 66c | 301.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Minnesota Lynx | 34c | 281.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 77c | 139.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 110.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 33c | 105.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 86.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Connecticut Sun | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Connecticut Sun | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 36.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Minnesota Lynx | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 25.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.