WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9d2d32640779e2b9010603d03b5203bb1628799cd1c0eb90e1f8c51e7a9eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 14,993$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.23 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 13,759$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,669.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 51c | 4,473$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.11 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,619$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.6 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,484$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 49c | 1,064$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.36 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 46c | 668.11$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.98 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 239.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 51c | 220.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 216.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 78c | 169.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 52c | 126.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 106.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 91.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 70.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 53c | 53.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 32c | 52.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 47.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 53c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 67c | 19.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.