WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e174193b77c8646e54fc8a772284378d301ebc3c3b406773fa94ceffe71061f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 6,734$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.67 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 5,484$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.22 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 3,442$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 2,581$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.92 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 55c | 358.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 45c | 282.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 53c | 271.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Under | 49c | 135.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 120.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 98.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 61.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 56c | 53.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…b9b0backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 45c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut SunMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.