TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c7,210$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.211,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes16c4,425$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7172040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes21c2,581$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.463938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes69c2,509$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.8548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes68c2,274$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.8622946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c2,216$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.761,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes67c2,066$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.0717753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes16c1,980$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.464751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes43c1,971$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.545440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes16c1,851$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+56.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Yes17c1,765$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes16c1,711$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.4812654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,443$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.33,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c1,440$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.0133346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes67c1,363$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.195752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes17c1,180$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.45042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes39c1,095$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62014062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes59c999.88$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes68c924.11$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.85068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No36c886.21$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.939239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes63c859.99$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1935247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes72c851.69$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.549726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4616437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No8c760.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes16c725$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes45c673.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.273865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c642.17$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.071,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No30c639.11$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3817244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Yes16c624.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.982035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2419642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No18c566.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.562030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No20c527.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.796341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c516.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes16c500.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.831540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No78c496.23$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.265450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes39c496$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No19c490.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes73c488.25$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.951,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes48c485.79$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes17c436$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x295a…2ff2backed Yes17c435$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Yes39c352.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No51c338.1$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5419641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No28c321.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed No32c311.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed No16c303$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.082437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2492326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes16c281$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.042751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes33c248.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c247.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Yes71c230.77$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.922437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes61c229.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.45954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes40c226.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.839253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x965f…c5b7backed No46c218.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes45c208.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.582222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes40c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdf…97f8backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No17c165.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.652619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes16c159.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0352923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes40c158.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.834953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No11c150.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.396232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes15c148.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes38c146.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.722841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No24c144$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4410840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No18c123.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.921844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked No11c123$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No28c121.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.18760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8d23…53d3backed Yes17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes77c115.78$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.023040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes18c107.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c105.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes41c104.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes44c103.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.09825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2721…3e21backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b9…3964backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+299.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes36c83.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.212571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes61c79.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9436646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes73c60.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes58c58.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.725234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No26c57.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes61c52.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes69c46.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3922042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.616657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes67c38.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes72c37.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Yes59c31.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9a…dbe1backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.