Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0859497f266b340a7a0d666fcd44cbba1f392afe92e642e4c10bc47a8d80821a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 3,903$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.3 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 995.26$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 972.24$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 969.51$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 894.14$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 69c | 827.66$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.83 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 78c | 506.35$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 494.8$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 11c | 414.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 308.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 306.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 68c | 257.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 75c | 248.78$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 79c | 217$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…2ff2backed Yes | 21c | 190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 186.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 145.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 137$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 76c | 134.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 124.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 122.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 121.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 118$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 110.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 103$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 102.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 93.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 73c | 69.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 33c | 63.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 63c | 63.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 54.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 31c | 49.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 72c | 47.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 45.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 33c | 43.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 34c | 34.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 74c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 20.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.