Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3879b6027074c0ec8115883c0bb1c60c1934c6ed1125c40f14a4b813bbcd5e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 0c | 10,932$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 4,963$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked No | 36c | 4,805$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 2,250$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.44 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 70c | 2,232$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.24 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 66c | 1,756$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.38 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 62c | 1,249$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.42 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 1,006$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.78 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 35c | 809.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed No | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 39c | 753.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.92 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 61c | 720.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.61 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 69c | 711.74$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 653.96$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 534.01$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 22c | 527$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 64c | 459.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 62c | 443.55$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 64c | 400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 34c | 396$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 77c | 368.55$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 30c | 327.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 323.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 257$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 70c | 227.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 65c | 219.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 72c | 208.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 37c | 206.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 34c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 32c | 197.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed Yes | 58c | 194.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 182.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 32c | 169.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 165.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Yes | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 30c | 131.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 127.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 40c | 108.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 93.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 32c | 91.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 38c | 84.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 66c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 36c | 62.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 62.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 26c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 58.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 62c | 54.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 35c | 48.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 62c | 38.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 62c | 37.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 63c | 26.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked No | 56c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 65c | 20.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 64c | 20.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 55c | 18.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…f168backed Yes | 64c | 17.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.