Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97931cbc93653f9cd4d33fcba892f316a22c067a2d181c4c4885cbb536f7288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sanfrecce Hiroshimaof Sanfrecce Hiroshima, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 45c | 5,360$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.57 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 48c | 2,754$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.11 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 51c | 2,744$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 49c | 2,401$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.02 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 58c | 1,999$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.39 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 59c | 1,279$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.13 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 58c | 709.71$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.13 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 65c | 273.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 55c | 222.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 55c | 168.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 53c | 135.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 52c | 126.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 52c | 98.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 45c | 72.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 39c | 69.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 45c | 68.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 56c | 51.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…5f5dbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 41c | 50.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 59c | 48.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 49c | 45.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…7413backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 49c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 49c | 38.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 45c | 35.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 48c | 34.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 53c | 33.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 55c | 31.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 58c | 30.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 57c | 29.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 49c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…6da0backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 70c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 57c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 50c | 22.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 58c | 22.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 61c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)this page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Sanfrecce Hiroshima O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)Sanfrecce Hiroshima won
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)Sanfrecce Hiroshima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.