Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0686c10bcb5228b463edd15b045c6288ce858bade7ea19360be5789db3c51de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sanfrecce Hiroshimaof Sanfrecce Hiroshima, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 26c | 4,794$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.48 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 72c | 4,127$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24c | 2,292$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.72 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 73c | 253.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 72c | 252.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33c | 163.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 72c | 140.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 102.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 75.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 65c | 73.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 75c | 65.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 31c | 55.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 67c | 54.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 79c | 48.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 74c | 41.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 78c | 20.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 73c | 17.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 65c | 16.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)this page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Sanfrecce Hiroshima O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)Sanfrecce Hiroshima won
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)Sanfrecce Hiroshima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.