Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0867a4b0c5b4e22a23ad25dddc61a84f1f4bb1c99e2c707c243c0e6d31bb22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 0c | 88,786$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 15c | 2,414$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 20c | 1,848$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 1,680$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 4c | 1,235$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 1,121$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 43c | 1,119$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 73c | 1,097$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 975.36$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 44c | 972.49$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.38 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 919.93$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 33c | 878.56$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.42 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 702.22$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 646.52$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 29c | 541.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 506.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 27c | 432$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74b…0867backed Yes | 27c | 353.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 25c | 352.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 29c | 307.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 71c | 280.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 6c | 261.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 215.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 14c | 211.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 75c | 179$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 61c | 178$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 171.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 41c | 165.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 67c | 155.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 150.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 29c | 137.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 133.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 71c | 129.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 37c | 121.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 101.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…7125backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 13c | 79.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…46efbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…8300backed Yes | 38c | 65.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed No | 56c | 64.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…b9b3backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 25c | 56.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 72c | 46.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 44.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 29c | 43.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 34c | 34.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 29.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 62c | 28.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 60c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 75c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.