Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77596963a254e9c19d960ccac3b195c0e727e3b4ba64d2f61f599d8415b48285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 7,500$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.24 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 5,414$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.66 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 2,817$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 2,402$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.36 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.05 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 930.7$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 4c | 919.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 834.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 818.16$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 11c | 808.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 24c | 662.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.37 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 32c | 536.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 75c | 533.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 528.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.28 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 38c | 479.81$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 437.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 431.99$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 50c | 413.05$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 35c | 381.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 33c | 368.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 363.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 25c | 324$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 19c | 251.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 250$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 44c | 231$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 71c | 208.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 30c | 207.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 12c | 164.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 30c | 143$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 75c | 133.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 75c | 133.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 128.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 119.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 19c | 106.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +255.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 18c | 94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 75.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 32c | 60.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 25c | 60.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 75c | 58.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 50.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 76c | 38.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 75c | 29.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 76c | 28.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 75c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 71c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.