Fifa International · resolved market
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a8df5ae487187cc55b287d19f301925652bb400ad6f0244a8ee2467bf53c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 64c | 1,374$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 37c | 1,312$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.04 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 41c | 1,180$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,163$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.12 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 42c | 599.92$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 65c | 559.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.78 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 13c | 443.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.44 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 80c | 405$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…0be6backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 19c | 396$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 80c | 374.38$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 41c | 305.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 12c | 275.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 59c | 271.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 57c | 262.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 21c | 259.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 48c | 206.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 30c | 193.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 14c | 189.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 13c | 183$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…e124backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 12c | 166.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 164.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…4e63backed No | 32c | 151.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 67c | 145.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…2d88backed Yes | 58c | 139.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 134.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 14c | 129.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 79c | 121.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 12c | 117$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 17c | 109.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 105.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…7fc7backed No | 41c | 96.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 65c | 75.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 75c | 61.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…15cdbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…9b61backed Yes | 55c | 56.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 60c | 50.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 43c | 48.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 40.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 58c | 38.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…6d90backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…4620backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?this page
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group C?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group E?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group F?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group G?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group K?No won
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.