TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,697 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes9c2,393$215 inLost-$215.426330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes9c799.9$74 inLost-$73.8714920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes21c551.91$116 inLost-$115.913330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes16c505.95$82 inLost-$81.5418636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes11c446$49 inLost-$49.0616927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes16c299.9$48 inLost-$47.9824954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes28c248.5$69 inLost-$69.2282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes13c243.11$31 inLost-$31.2888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c228$21 inLost-$20.987799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No72c212.5$153 inWon+$59.53953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c207.63$44 inLost-$44.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes9c187.99$18 inLost-$17.571674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Yes13c175$22 inLost-$2215253.3%81 W · 71 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes8c129.7$11 inLost-$10.671,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes12c129.16$15 inLost-$15.57413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed No79c121.94$96 inWon+$25.613154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost-$258464.3%54 W · 30 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes22c106.15$23 inLost-$23.3525244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes13c100$13 inLost-$1326037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost-$152222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No73c90$66 inWon+$24.346047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes16c70.98$11 inLost-$11.0225638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes24c61.54$15 inLost-$14.7775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No73c60.44$44 inWon+$16.3213060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No78c29.32$23 inWon+$6.4538329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.