TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Over39c75,000$29,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,309.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over41c69,948$28,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,519.632365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c23,928$14,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,190.281,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c20,659$12,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,313.063,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under59c14,497$8,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,943.776349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c10,500$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,13026345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c7,368$4,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.21,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under61c6,686$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.486250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under60c6,460$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.274348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under60c4,912$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.965056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c4,000$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58052639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c3,971$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.711,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under60c3,965$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.9135550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under60c3,343$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.9713347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c3,011$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.621,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14017740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Under60c2,576$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over24c2,349$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.7338246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under60c2,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81014652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under61c1,789$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.8436247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under60c1,781$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8520043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under62c1,568$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.849457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c1,472$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.2721547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under59c1,228$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.773268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c1,175$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9222841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under60c890$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under59c702.59$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3610848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under59c605.05$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.073435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under60c599$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over13c532.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c499.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under63c400$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c378.02$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c378.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over41c366$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c353$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over7c348.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c314.76$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2118456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under59c311.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.226558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under60c300$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12117751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under64c300$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2426450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under60c290.32$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.237659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under59c273.2$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.327256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c262.67$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9514957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7813158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under60c197$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.817244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under59c196$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9410257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c192$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under62c185$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.320133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under61c175$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.756163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over40c170$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1552923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under62c156$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.289058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c139$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.711,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0312146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over19c124.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.391717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under59c115.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.562142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Over38c103.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under60c99.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.222458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over12c98.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.846156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7710450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c96.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under60c92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf90…fa11backed Over38c84.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under59c83.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.172458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under59c83.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.172060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under61c82.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c74.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.29654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under62c73.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under63c71.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.313164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…e94abacked Under60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+78.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.359944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over40c62.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.014845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c62.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under74c62.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2512839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c58.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under60c53.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.284470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Under60c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+209.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.516456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.512850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under59c48.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.841752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under60c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under59c43.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under60c42.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1310042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under59c42.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.