Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ff942b757cc4211b8e5801dc2cf8930548c92371b1184cf897a2be3c423695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Over | 39c | 75,000$29,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,309.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over | 41c | 69,948$28,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,519.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 23,928$14,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,190.28 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 20,659$12,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,313.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 59c | 14,497$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.77 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 10,500$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 7,368$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.2 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 61c | 6,686$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.48 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 60c | 6,460$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 60c | 4,912$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 4,000$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 3,971$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.71 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 3,965$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.91 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 60c | 3,343$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.97 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 3,011$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Under | 60c | 2,576$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 24c | 2,349$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.73 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 1,789$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.84 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 60c | 1,781$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.85 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 62c | 1,568$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.84 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 59c | 1,472$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.27 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 59c | 1,228$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.77 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 61c | 1,175$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.92 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 60c | 890$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.3 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 59c | 702.59$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 59c | 605.05$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 599$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 13c | 532.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.55 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 378.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 378.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 366$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 353$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 7c | 348.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 59c | 314.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 59c | 311.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 60c | 290.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 59c | 273.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 262.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 60c | 197$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 59c | 196$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 62c | 192$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 62c | 185$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 40c | 170$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 62c | 156$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 139$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 19c | 124.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 59c | 115.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Over | 38c | 103.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 60c | 99.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 12c | 98.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 96.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 60c | 92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…fa11backed Over | 38c | 84.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 82.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 61c | 74.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 73.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 63c | 71.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Under | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 40c | 62.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 26c | 62.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 74c | 62.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 58.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 60c | 53.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 59c | 48.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 60c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Under | 59c | 43.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 42.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 59c | 42.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.