Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea57cc51e1596ec9adbad95f7bd92665cb26b516f57deb3c1e50daa38c224431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Over | 60c | 65,431$39,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,387.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 23,224$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,596.75 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 7,000$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 39c | 6,837$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.91 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over | 61c | 5,567$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 40c | 3,180$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 3,168$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.36 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,245$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 45c | 2,059$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.64 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 40c | 2,005$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.39 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 40c | 1,948$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.37 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 1,914$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.21 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,725$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 40c | 1,568$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 1,491$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.31 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 1,407$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.71 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 39c | 1,291$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.56 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 1,057$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.78 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Over | 44c | 1,029$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 40c | 882.19$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.88 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 41c | 687.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 3c | 666.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 578.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.39 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 40c | 489.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 460.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.31 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 49c | 452.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 40c | 418$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 40c | 404.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 398.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 394.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 321.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 317.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 60c | 282$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 40c | 282$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 13c | 277.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 262.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…f7b8backed Under | 77c | 259.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 40c | 244$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 241.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 212.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 41c | 206.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 76c | 180.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 57c | 174.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 41c | 173$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 166.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 72c | 156.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 40c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 39c | 121.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 117.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 74c | 108.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 104.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 41c | 104.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 60c | 102.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Over | 61c | 101.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Under | 40c | 98.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 63c | 96.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 21c | 90.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…fa11backed Over | 61c | 85.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 83.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 39c | 82.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 74c | 81.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 70.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 80c | 59.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Over | 26c | 59.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 58.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 57c | 55.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Under | 40c | 49.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 47.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.