Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d44fad4d70693b834e48813b802e57d66f264a42d564f9eaf8bb3a1810a6502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 2,933$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.78 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 48c | 2,411$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.61 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 2,193$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.93 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 46c | 2,013$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.21 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 795.23$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.35 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 717.33$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 50c | 461$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 42c | 416.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 331.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 41c | 271.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 192.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 67c | 183.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 178$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 41c | 163.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 59c | 143$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 102.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 93.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 59c | 91.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 59c | 85.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 75.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 73.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed No | 75c | 65.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 65.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 61c | 53.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 38c | 50.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 71c | 48.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed No | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 34.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 71c | 28.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 62c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Austin FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.