TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Ryan Nijboer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ryan Nijboerof Mika Brunold, Ryan Nijboer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Mika Brunold33c13,408$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,473.548,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed Ryan Nijboer30c7,536$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.845848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mika Brunold41c6,145$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.888,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Ryan Nijboer50c5,300$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mika Brunold65c3,328$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.5111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mika Brunold38c2,402$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.334,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ryan Nijboer40c1,877$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.015,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ryan Nijboer55c1,838$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.893,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Ryan Nijboer51c1,555$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.391,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Mika Brunold40c1,288$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51042332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ryan Nijboer51c1,110$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.974,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Ryan Nijboer50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.1662457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Mika Brunold43c947.32$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.581,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mika Brunold71c842$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.821,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mika Brunold53c826.59$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.094,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ryan Nijboer26c771.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.432,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mika Brunold60c758.03$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.148,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ryan Nijboer34c735.78$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.419,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Ryan Nijboer44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.821,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mika Brunold20c638.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.236,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ryan Nijboer47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.295,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ryan Nijboer29c541.81$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.112,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Mika Brunold44c453.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Mika Brunold77c452.62$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2435360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Ryan Nijboer23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7842930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Mika Brunold66c412.95$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4292145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Ryan Nijboer34c399.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9945445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ryan Nijboer49c370.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.571,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Mika Brunold44c348.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.081,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Ryan Nijboer47c316.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.941,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mika Brunold65c300.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.542,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mika Brunold26c272.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.756,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Mika Brunold43c230.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Ryan Nijboer49c217.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.371,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Mika Brunold32c202.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+85.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ryan Nijboer26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1484,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ryan Nijboer27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1978857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Ryan Nijboer58c171.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.741,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed Ryan Nijboer30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.675933.9%20 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mika Brunold70c165.83$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.083,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Ryan Nijboer54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9831855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mika Brunold13c153.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.956,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mika Brunold77c140.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.374,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Ryan Nijboer54c138$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.129554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ryan Nijboer13c130.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.792,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Ryan Nijboer62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Mika Brunold78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Ryan Nijboer43c122.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.071,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Ryan Nijboer31c122.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9343444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Ryan Nijboer56c119.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7711045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ryan Nijboer38c116.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.873,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mika Brunold73c114$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.224,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…2202backed Ryan Nijboer26c113.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.293658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2890…49ebbacked Mika Brunold45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Ryan Nijboer35c111.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Ryan Nijboer48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.213247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Ryan Nijboer49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Ryan Nijboer30c102$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7797852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Mika Brunold51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.583447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Mika Brunold42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88da…e801backed Ryan Nijboer53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712143%52 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Mika Brunold44c96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3239751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ryan Nijboer50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Mika Brunold50c93.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5224546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Ryan Nijboer21c92.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3284857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab8…c5c3backed Ryan Nijboer32c91.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+87.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Ryan Nijboer75c89.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.931,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Ryan Nijboer80c89.26$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8532952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Ryan Nijboer37c87.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.625237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Ryan Nijboer54c86.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0246155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Ryan Nijboer30c84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Mika Brunold71c77.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9560962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Mika Brunold71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Mika Brunold49c66.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4379951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Mika Brunold52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2423742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Mika Brunold71c61.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.729347.4%139 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Ryan Nijboer31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.58139.5%32 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Ryan Nijboer61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.184973.5%36 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Mika Brunold75c43.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Mika Brunold58c42.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Mika Brunold46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7217643.8%77 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed Mika Brunold46c36.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Mika Brunold32c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5126640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Ryan Nijboer61c31.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472576%19 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4432…1a32backed Ryan Nijboer54c30.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8115079.3%119 W · 31 L+17.1wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Mika Brunold57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+494.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Ryan Nijboer36c29.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0231253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef81…1a9ebacked Mika Brunold58c29.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…4349backed Mika Brunold71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mika Brunold50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Mika Brunold71c27.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7430055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Mika Brunold70c27.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2722638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Mika Brunold73c27.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0162549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Mika Brunold51c27.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8489859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Mika Brunold75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x582c…3266backed Mika Brunold76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Mika Brunold77c25.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Ryan Nijboer47c25.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mika Brunold54c23.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe668…7a6bbacked Ryan Nijboer52c23.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.394560%27 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.