World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7ab14e108ea5a9155cec536b435c098b72702639598f0c28349c8bac946d94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 32c | 3,411$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yes | 0c | 3,080$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 66c | 2,858$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked No | 51c | 2,839$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.79 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 37c | 2,135$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.49 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 68c | 2,071$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.19 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 43c | 2,006$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.64 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…2e7cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,422$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,404$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 1,404$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.57 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…5cebbacked Yes | 80c | 1,239$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 67c | 1,234$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 31c | 1,117$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.57 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…3c8abacked Yes | 77c | 1,071$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…cf9ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,065$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 24c | 958.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.74 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 69c | 927.87$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yes | 5c | 892.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…8024backed Yes | 68c | 762.38$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 71c | 718$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 43c | 710.54$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…011abacked Yes | 69c | 704.97$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…e84fbacked Yes | 67c | 693.67$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 658.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…82b1backed Yes | 76c | 529.21$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 70c | 461.49$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 6c | 461.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…3031backed Yes | 75c | 455.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 31c | 445$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 37c | 441.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 79c | 434.4$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 431.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 58c | 393.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 366.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 65c | 361.64$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 360$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d0…18b2backed Yes | 6c | 352.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 330.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…d3d6backed Yes | 76c | 296.57$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 279.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…b81bbacked Yes | 68c | 277.48$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 62c | 266.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…a9aabacked Yes | 6c | 262.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 45c | 256.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…52fcbacked Yes | 80c | 250.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 250.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…f582backed Yes | 9c | 245.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…e689backed Yes | 5c | 244.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…43b4backed Yes | 69c | 234.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 60c | 219.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 36c | 196.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 29c | 195$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 63c | 185$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 21c | 181$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…a362backed Yes | 60c | 166.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 37c | 163.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 28c | 153.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 148.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 64c | 148$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…9369backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 25c | 143.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…7ed4backed Yes | 70c | 142.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 62c | 140.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 71c | 130.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…65ccbacked Yes | 64c | 123.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 32c | 118.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…76a7backed Yes | 40c | 118.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 20c | 118$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 31c | 116.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes | 63c | 102.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…bcbfbacked No | 32c | 93.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd9…663bbacked Yes | 70c | 91.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 90.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 47c | 87.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked Yes | 71c | 85.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…eed2backed Yes | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…588bbacked Yes | 74c | 75.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…05b9backed Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…3b82backed Yes | 72c | 74.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 66.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…fee6backed Yes | 65c | 64.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabf…b123backed Yes | 75c | 63.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 64c | 62.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 56c | 57.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 31c | 57.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 37c | 55.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 56c | 53.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…4b22backed Yes | 78c | 50.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…aefdbacked Yes | 48c | 50.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Claudia López place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.