MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fcacbc007e5c3605b165a2ef512815a04916b0a87fa71f63657039795a8dbfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $920,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 140,625$88,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,558.77 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 10c | 119,668$11,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,530.33 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed New York Mets | 34c | 117,562$39,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,514.54 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 76,954$52,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,210.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.96 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 39,845$29,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,649.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 1c | 33,610$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70e…219fbacked New York Mets | 39c | 32,715$12,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,758.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 38c | 29,988$11,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,395.26 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked New York Mets | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 38c | 23,276$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 17,413$10,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.98 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 40c | 13,782$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 13,771$9,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 37c | 13,082$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 11,934$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.26 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed New York Mets | 38c | 11,202$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.92 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 9,818$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 29c | 9,112$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.75 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 7,500$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 36c | 6,858$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 6,837$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 1c | 5,975$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 37c | 5,777$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets | 37c | 5,397$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.58 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 5,059$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 4,801$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 37c | 4,770$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 4,350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 4,344$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.26 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 11c | 4,075$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.35 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed New York Mets | 14c | 4,056$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.23 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,852$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.75 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 3,537$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked New York Mets | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,387$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.1 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 2c | 3,290$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 2,645$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Mets | 36c | 2,522$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.76 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 26c | 2,364$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.79 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 2,349$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.05 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 35c | 2,340$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.58 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 38c | 2,297$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 2,280$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.22 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 2,274$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.12 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked New York Mets | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 38c | 1,767$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.46 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 1,466$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,224$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Mets | 36c | 1,048$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed New York Mets | 36c | 984.14$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed New York Mets | 40c | 937.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed New York Mets | 1c | 921.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 847.94$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 847.24$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Mets | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 800$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 746.44$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.02 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 39c | 650$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 644.5$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 624$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed New York Mets | 39c | 587.59$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.16 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 560$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 558.58$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Mets | 39c | 545$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 544.32$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 537.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed New York Mets | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Mets | 37c | 512.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 39c | 503.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500.05$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 498.44$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 489$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 10c | 453.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked New York Mets | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 378$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 375.78$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 369.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 39c | 340$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 339.01$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 331.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed New York Mets | 39c | 331$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 39c | 330$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.