MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1f9f6bc6228eb4b8d7931078ac8e20a32cacd11af3f648f506ee67aefa68c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 78,930$37,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,232.76 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 63,729$33,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,139.13 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…2908backed Under | 47c | 17,425$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,246.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 12,666$6,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 51c | 12,663$6,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.13 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 9,418$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 6,746$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 3,381$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.94 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 1,783$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.59 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,713$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 44c | 1,487$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.63 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 810.48$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 39c | 627.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 53c | 617.53$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 600.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 496.56$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 364.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 334.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Under | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 40c | 309.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 47c | 190.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 157.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Over | 51c | 157.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 37c | 149.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 138.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 131.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 53c | 128.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 115.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 52c | 114.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 69c | 98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 93.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under | 37c | 92.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 52c | 82.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 31c | 80.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 51c | 78.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 49c | 77.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 36c | 76.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 44c | 57.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 52.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 47.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 44.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 42.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 52c | 41.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 47c | 37.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 50c | 36.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 34.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 40c | 32.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed Over | 64c | 30.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Over | 46c | 26.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 65c | 17.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…93afbacked Over | 64c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 420 | 41.9%176 W · 244 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.