TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under48c78,930$37,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,232.761,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over52c63,729$33,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,139.1386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under49c25,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,749.9726054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55c5…2908backed Under47c17,425$8,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,246.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c12,666$6,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over51c12,663$6,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,458.1371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c9,418$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085.084,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c6,746$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.3910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c3,381$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.941,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over60c1,783$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.591,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,713$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.438,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67582636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under44c1,487$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.6351545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,067$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c1,024$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.482,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over53c975$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.751,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under46c810.48$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.658,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c687$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3727249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under39c627.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2341346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over53c617.53$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c600.63$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.172,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c496.56$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.255,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over52c480.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c364.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c334.03$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.598,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Under48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.27846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under40c309.4$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4195252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under47c190.56$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over68c157.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.451,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Over51c157.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Under37c149.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1624843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c138.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over49c131.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.476,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.784,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over53c128.12$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.671,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under44c115.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.471,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under52c114.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.884,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under46c104$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7229141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5145748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e3…5652backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9826751.7%138 W · 129 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over69c98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.623141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509756.7%55 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under49c93.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.483,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under37c92.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0614751.7%76 W · 71 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Over52c82.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.833354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under31c80.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5667742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over51c78.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2567453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under49c77.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5924149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under36c76.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6749942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.818848.9%43 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Under44c57.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4310658.5%62 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over54c52.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2731258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over51c47.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.183053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over51c44.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9270455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c42.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.255,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over52c41.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5642448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c41.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.372,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under47c37.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8540753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c36.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4887370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under50c36.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4153644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Under41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over42c35.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8588046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over53c34.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.341,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Under39c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.139662.5%60 W · 36 L+11.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under40c32.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4373355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2559749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb56…7277backed Over64c30.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Under34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.830928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe827…59f1backed Over46c26.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over52c24.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9687352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over50c23.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over65c17.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.672,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b92…93afbacked Over64c15.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2242041.9%176 W · 244 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.