Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ddda85e7b486c2cdec84e1ea2903a0ae4f2a2cc03c20b511c661bc6d2890c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 35c | 1,852$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 37c | 1,106$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.49 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 50c | 1,076$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.64 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,054$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…9089backed Yes | 58c | 827.27$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Yes | 63c | 789.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 49c | 673.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.21 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c86…cdf2backed Yes | 15c | 667.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…793bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…92dbbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 27c | 633.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 601.62$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…98e6backed Yes | 58c | 557.56$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 38c | 524.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.7 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed Yes | 60c | 499.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…8135backed Yes | 5c | 480.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 473.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…bab3backed Yes | 17c | 471.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 453.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…975fbacked Yes | 20c | 396.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 396$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.47 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 394.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 61c | 393.68$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 34c | 363.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed No | 67c | 360.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 332.73$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 322.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 14c | 322.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 314.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…78e1backed Yes | 27c | 265.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8925…7bc4backed Yes | 68c | 256.09$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 41c | 254.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 65c | 247.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 218.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…5d9ebacked Yes | 16c | 213.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 211.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…fdf7backed Yes | 13c | 206.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 201$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 194.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 175$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 171.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…477cbacked Yes | 29c | 165.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…e04fbacked Yes | 26c | 151.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 20c | 150.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Yes | 36c | 147.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…2e65backed Yes | 40c | 137.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…0724backed Yes | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 133.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…822bbacked Yes | 63c | 127.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…db52backed Yes | 16c | 121.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 66c | 120.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…19c2backed Yes | 28c | 108.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed No | 66c | 103.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8970…f311backed Yes | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…8d0ebacked Yes | 14c | 99.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…473abacked Yes | 42c | 95.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…d68cbacked Yes | 53c | 93.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 51c | 86.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…e528backed Yes | 23c | 86.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…8a22backed Yes | 20c | 84.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 83.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 65c | 80.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 28c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 58c | 76.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…6c06backed No | 39c | 74.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 60c | 74.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 85 | 71.8%61 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e70backed Yes | 30c | 72.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…ffabbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…f115backed Yes | 40c | 70.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…b97ebacked Yes | 19c | 65.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 32c | 65.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…ab33backed Yes | 24c | 63.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 62.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 60.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 53.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…7ccdbacked Yes | 39c | 51.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…5974backed No | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Yes | 38c | 50.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 27c | 50.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…d5a9backed Yes | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008c…c162backed Yes | 63c | 46.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…c8cbbacked Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 45c | 43.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 40c | 41.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…df23backed Yes | 46c | 41.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…e387backed Yes | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 63c | 39.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4e…5c16backed Yes | 68c | 36.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 35c | 36.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cody Gakpo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mehdi Taremi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Santiago Giménez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Viktor Gyökeres record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.