Fifa International · resolved market
Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7fa55fca14e385bda2b593ede9336c257e9538682e277926d957984f9e2eb05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,901$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 911.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Yes | 9c | 908.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 5c | 723.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 719.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 674.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 5c | 424.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 9c | 406.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c4…a006backed Yes | 8c | 254.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 247.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 230.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 11c | 157.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…7324backed Yes | 12c | 125.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 16c | 74.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a4…e311backed Yes | 18c | 59.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…6f26backed Yes | 19c | 51.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cody Gakpo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mehdi Taremi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Santiago Giménez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Viktor Gyökeres record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.