TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No22c11,991$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.2588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…52d5backed Yes69c2,648$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.972454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No68c1,563$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2513957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No67c1,506$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.1522749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes34c1,478$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.537853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes73c1,363$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.285062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No37c1,303$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.461,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc06d…485bbacked Yes77c1,264$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes27c1,264$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.655030%15 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes41c1,064$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.032552%13 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+63.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No27c1,062$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3221630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…b024backed Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No66c932.34$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.696622.7%15 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.713540%14 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes29c699.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7514245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes42c674.07$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No50c666.39$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3418246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed Yes61c652.66$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.761637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8d2…c66bbacked Yes32c619.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.442729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No26c601.34$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9265651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No65c595.64$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1719929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes39c507.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.168214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes57c474.78$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No34c465.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8641231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No39c401$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0117558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes41c392.58$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7925537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No46c386$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6328554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No33c376.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7921958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No68c361.68$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.717540%30 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No36c335$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.612735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No60c320.42$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4364850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Yes55c298.91$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.516235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No68c281.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.169915.2%15 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb514…09e6backed Yes34c278.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.551118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…2e65backed Yes64c274.76$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.762646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No71c248.37$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3415740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No42c244.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b9…8682backed Yes41c239.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.679924.2%24 W · 75 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes34c228.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3811638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No43c215.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.352,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No38c208.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5146047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No31c205.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa422…2b56backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309239.1%36 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…60babacked No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No19c198.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No72c181$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8714858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes35c179.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes47c177.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0842336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes73c175.31$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.9wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c175.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes43c168.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Yes69c167.41$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.743464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6622…25d5backed Yes36c164.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6939…663bbacked Yes34c148.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.795920.3%12 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No47c147.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1828256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb23…d5a9backed Yes42c147.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0210143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…e650backed Yes31c144$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.367140.8%29 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes30c142.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.887799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc98…822bbacked Yes63c140.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.261540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No12c133.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0620142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes75c132.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.871163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes39c128$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.361030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes69c127.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6745736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes56c125.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3747127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No49c118.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7812752%66 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes39c114.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6112038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No25c109.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3410444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No55c106.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4115158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No15c106.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.296098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No36c103.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.923750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c102.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.722,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb4…b3fcbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe714…0b4abacked No77c99.7$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7710862%67 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No28c98.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0820862%129 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No30c97.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7248636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd7db…569dbacked Yes31c97.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.713330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8970…f311backed Yes38c89.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.144944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c1…ffabbacked No47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes38c78.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.541650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x508f…8a22backed Yes26c77.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.241369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+69.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f1…6c06backed Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes34c74.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0712532.8%41 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No66c73.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.532646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed5…44bfbacked Yes75c68.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1117941.3%74 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes26c63.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.635527.3%15 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed Yes65c61.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No31c59.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.432044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1058…7324backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-77.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc26…b175backed Yes35c57.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad4e…a1a1backed Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Yes28c56.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.552060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…4aa9backed Yes54c55.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No22c54.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9933729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes43c52.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9316246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736e…a144backed Yes29c51.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.183036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No26c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4714055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e5…b7aabacked Yes54c50.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.