Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1101ddd25149c691f26570e8826d6b4268275ad6e707dc530cbf36ca9365c1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, DN SOOPers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 59,039$32,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,761.62 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed DN SOOPers | 45c | 17,535$7,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,888.74 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed DN SOOPers | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…64f2backed DN SOOPers | 49c | 13,480$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…07babacked Dplus KIA | 51c | 13,480$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers | 45c | 10,662$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.5 | 1,638 | 40.2%659 W · 979 L | +49.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers | 45c | 9,226$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.68 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed DN SOOPers | 46c | 4,960$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed DN SOOPers | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.25 | 1,030 | 52.3%539 W · 491 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 1,029$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.4 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked DN SOOPers | 45c | 633$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…b620backed DN SOOPers | 45c | 600$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed DN SOOPers | 45c | 570$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 1,157 | 56.1%649 W · 508 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Dplus KIA | 57c | 523.73$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 446.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked DN SOOPers | 45c | 409.71$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked DN SOOPers | 51c | 394.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DN SOOPers | 43c | 369.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 271$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed DN SOOPers | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Dplus KIA | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 142.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked DN SOOPers | 53c | 132.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Dplus KIA | 47c | 132.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 112.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked DN SOOPers | 45c | 55.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed DN SOOPers | 45c | 48.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed DN SOOPers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 52.2%165 W · 151 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Dplus KIA | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA | 41c | 30.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DN SOOPers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,061 | 44.8%475 W · 586 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA (BO3)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.