TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof DN Freecs, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed DN Freecs13c21,840$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.1819239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DN Freecs18c19,109$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.291,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DN Freecs24c14,820$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,553.1725923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs8c10,018$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.251,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed DN Freecs18c9,727$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA71c9,000$6,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.831,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Dplus KIA70c5,503$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.462433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed DN Freecs7c4,829$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0423547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed DN Freecs18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9941644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs1c3,954$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked DN Freecs13c3,500$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4455226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DN Freecs19c2,913$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.41,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs17c2,662$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.553,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DN Freecs27c2,289$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.631,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked DN Freecs18c2,096$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.517241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed DN Freecs19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed DN Freecs19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9946033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed DN Freecs23c1,933$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.039221.7%20 W · 72 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked DN Freecs19c1,580$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.228150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked DN Freecs18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed DN Freecs10c1,484$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.581242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed DN Freecs16c1,450$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed DN Freecs21c1,390$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.571,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed DN Freecs7c1,251$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.585860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked DN Freecs15c1,218$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17753139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed DN Freecs19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9654129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed DN Freecs23c1,130$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.871,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed DN Freecs25c1,098$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3439152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f67…da0ebacked DN Freecs19c1,030$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed DN Freecs8c1,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.221735.9%78 W · 139 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Dplus KIA79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN Freecs19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked DN Freecs19c999.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked DN Freecs7c999.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7078050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed DN Freecs19c999.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.991,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Dplus KIA74c972.45$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs26c924.67$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.942,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda2…de79backed DN Freecs17c899.77$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed DN Freecs2c866.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.485833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed DN Freecs21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Dplus KIA80c705.65$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1321154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2284…b0e4backed DN Freecs17c599.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DN Freecs18c590$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN Freecs24c571.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.961,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked DN Freecs29c469$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9422636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed DN Freecs5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Dplus KIA75c382.45$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6110151.5%52 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Dplus KIA80c354.06$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8113966.9%93 W · 46 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed DN Freecs20c303.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Dplus KIA69c288.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.346864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f70…39aebacked DN Freecs20c281.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs16c246.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4536331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dplus KIA69c245$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9559952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DN Freecs8c242$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed DN Freecs18c233.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9827735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed DN Freecs19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked DN Freecs11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed DN Freecs13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed DN Freecs19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3848035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed DN Freecs28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed DN Freecs8c199.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee33…9a55backed Dplus KIA75c199.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Dplus KIA75c199.12$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.128842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…a4a0backed DN Freecs27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505022%11 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Dplus KIA75c150.67$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6729856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa6…f3b0backed Dplus KIA70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454669.6%32 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed DN Freecs10c149.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3516934.3%58 W · 111 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Dplus KIA78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Dplus KIA75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3310056%56 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed DN Freecs19c132$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.083732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed DN Freecs20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b4…9dcabacked DN Freecs30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked DN Freecs8c129.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked DN Freecs19c124.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.349741.2%40 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed DN Freecs20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243745.9%17 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+52.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed Dplus KIA79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25540%22 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6627…000cbacked DN Freecs32c118.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed DN Freecs20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed DN Freecs20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dplus KIA73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2739044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Dplus KIA79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…9311backed DN Freecs19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed DN Freecs20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b86…3010backed Dplus KIA80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205275%39 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked DN Freecs20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed DN Freecs20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Dplus KIA80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked DN Freecs26c79.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.671040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked DN Freecs14c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.523057%131 W · 99 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Dplus KIA74c69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9415155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3094…d467backed DN Freecs29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Dplus KIA79c63.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1650051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7170…3c0cbacked Dplus KIA80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed DN Freecs20c58.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.688631.4%27 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed DN Freecs32c56.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Dplus KIA77c51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.736952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c1e…9ba0backed Dplus KIA79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53378.8%26 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Dplus KIA77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Dplus KIA79c38.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1237950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Dplus KIA80c35.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0217258.7%101 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.