NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd229c54e165b871731cce5f6fbd5f3734893bec05de67b6adbb42087e2fd693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc94a…9401backed 76ers | 48c | 7,795$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.4 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 6,143$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,795$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed 76ers | 51c | 4,016$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed 76ers | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed 76ers | 49c | 2,226$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.16 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed 76ers | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Mavericks | 50c | 994.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed 76ers | 51c | 906$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.94 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed 76ers | 51c | 823.53$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed 76ers | 52c | 480.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed 76ers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked 76ers | 49c | 371$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 49c | 332.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 50c | 276$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 48c | 265.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…3f7abacked 76ers | 50c | 200.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Mavericks | 50c | 199.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 62c | 178.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Mavericks | 37c | 167.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 50c | 157.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mavericks | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed 76ers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 132.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked 76ers | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked 76ers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed 76ers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed 76ers | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 76ers | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Mavericks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Mavericks | 49c | 69.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed 76ers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Mavericks | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed 76ers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked 76ers | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed 76ers | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…89e4backed Mavericks | 50c | 35.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed 76ers | 51c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…1720backed Mavericks | 50c | 31.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked 76ers | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed 76ers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed 76ers | 48c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…af09backed 76ers | 51c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed 76ers | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…2540backed 76ers | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed 76ers | 53c | 22.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Mavericks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.