TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb889…a430backed Under49c60,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,399.999263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c21,776$10,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,039.022,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c18,001$9,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,820.452,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c18,000$9,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under50c6,031$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03516254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c4,999$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.512,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c4,555$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.952,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Over52c4,520$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under51c4,510$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2053661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ee…48febacked Under46c2,962$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over48c2,940$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.817344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under52c2,940$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.813748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9b…2923backed Over54c2,934$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa803…98b0backed Over52c2,585$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86c…0670backed Over52c2,551$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,533$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b0…b5b9backed Under48c2,513$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f20…fdc9backed Under48c2,481$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2608…a299backed Under46c2,310$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f24…5267backed Over54c2,269$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…f90ebacked Over52c2,240$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ab…07d9backed Under48c2,159$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over39c2,066$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.923,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00de…c8a2backed Under46c2,051$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2a…7e01backed Over54c1,964$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.783452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under50c1,887$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.6511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe89…dbcabacked Over52c1,846$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b57…bfa3backed Under48c1,802$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c1,793$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff8…72d0backed Under46c1,734$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899d…cabcbacked Over54c1,710$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c1,704$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.21,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9516550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Under65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9752231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54da…5ea0backed Under48c1,469$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under37c1,296$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.891,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ac…fc03backed Over54c1,281$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac72…fa2ebacked Over52c1,202$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0848957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,128$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.242,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…af1dbacked Under46c1,101$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56515756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,064$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,057$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Over64c972.29$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.295653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Over63c902.17$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.81376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under31c845.39$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Under50c826$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4134742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Over67c802.99$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9910235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c763$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under49c699.99$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34349142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c647.08$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under57c509.91$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.658138.3%31 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over53c428.53$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4415653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Over63c356$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.724271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under32c313.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14472647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Over53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.283762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c240$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688448.8%41 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over55c183$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over78c167$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.992,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over65c154.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.190957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under44c151.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.831,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over51c128$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.247050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over67c109.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.327247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Over55c107.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.275635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over63c103.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.513651.5%70 W · 66 L-15.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over54c93.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3653539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Under45c91.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd10…3542backed Under33c87.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119756.3%111 W · 86 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72cf…09bbbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over51c53.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under38c51.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9812648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0817527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under49c46.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3863…ae6abacked Over36c42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.883438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Under51c39.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010337.9%39 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7415355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…a23cbacked Over52c37.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.962259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.