NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab9f9bec3cf4d4fd6f4e40b48accb63ef445f30d1dda006bb08a118620dc5de

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Pistons, Heat
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $150,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Pistons	50c	100,000$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat	50c	40,698$20,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,349	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Heat	50c	31,936$15,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,968.16	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons	46c	7,500$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,449.96	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat	54c	7,492$4,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,446.34	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons	48c	6,944$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,333	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Heat	50c	6,600$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	52c	5,871$3,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,818.37	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Heat	50c	4,295$2,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,147.37	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Pistons	49c	3,102$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.98	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Heat	51c	3,100$1,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.93	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Heat	49c	3,075$1,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,577.8	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Heat	52c	3,037$1,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,457.54	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Heat	50c	2,572$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,286.2	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons	15c	1,888$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.22	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	51c	1,873$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Heat	50c	1,458$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Heat	54c	1,295$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.51	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Heat	50c	1,287$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.5	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Heat	55c	1,273$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.73	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	51c	1,104$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.19	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Pistons	23c	1,094$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Pistons	48c	1,068$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.5	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Heat	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Heat	54c	740.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.74	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons	46c	684$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.64	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons	48c	648.95$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.7	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Heat	53c	567$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.49	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Heat	54c	550$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Pistons	46c	485$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.1	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Heat	53c	449.99$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.99	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons	47c	437$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.6	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Pistons	47c	425.35$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Heat	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons	47c	350$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.24	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Pistons	48c	265.54$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.46	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c1…3f7abacked Pistons	41c	246.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a8…4bf7backed Pistons	47c	245.03$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.99	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Heat	53c	227.4$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.88	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Pistons	51c	222$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.22	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat	53c	212.19$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.46	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Pistons	50c	207.45$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Heat	71c	206$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.24	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons	46c	199.98$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.99	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat	59c	197.78$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.09	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons	48c	190.27$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.33	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons	47c	189.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Heat	55c	182.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.39	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Heat	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat	50c	175.26$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.19	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Heat	71c	159.8$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.65	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	46c	158.61$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.79	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Heat	52c	138$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.18	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pistons	26c	132.36$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Pistons	56c	110.78$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Pistons	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.3wins	-0.31per pick	52cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Heat	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Pistons	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Heat	53c	99.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd722…f0e0backed Pistons	48c	97.35$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.73	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Pistons	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed Heat	57c	78.19$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.91	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons	20c	69.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Pistons	54c	66.27$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.79	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons	46c	65.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc597…668ebacked Pistons	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+117.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e5…be5ebacked Pistons	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons	46c	57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Heat	53c	56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	421	43.7%184 W · 237 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Heat	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Pistons	47c	53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Pistons	39c	52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Pistons	48c	46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Pistons	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	183	47.5%87 W · 96 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Pistons	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	49.4%83 W · 85 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Heat	57c	42.55$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.37	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Pistons	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	202	41.1%83 W · 119 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…6396backed Pistons	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Heat	49c	39.22$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Pistons	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Heat	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Heat	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Heat	54c	29.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.37	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Heat	78c	29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.48	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked Heat	54c	27.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons	44c	23.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Heat	56c	23.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.23	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Heat	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Heat	54c	21.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Heat	54c	21.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c80…5577backed Heat	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a13…271dbacked Pistons	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Heat	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4d…cad0backed Pistons	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event