NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db9915dc4fa8edacffd0665715f67f471788321601b24905306abc30969f1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,493 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 4,739$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.74 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 51c | 4,184$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,019$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 54c | 1,703$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,572$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,076$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 759.17$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.83 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 451.45$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 371.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 45c | 360.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 48c | 319.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.09 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 55c | 293.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Under | 52c | 164.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 51c | 158.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 59c | 111.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 15c | 94.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Under | 34c | 86.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 51c | 78.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 70.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Under | 34c | 57.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Over | 49c | 49.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 42.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…6466backed Over | 48c | 27.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 26.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 57c | 20.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Under | 56c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 80c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.