NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc387e385a951b416b95117734da14a61be29ee59aa9213da380e26d636e53410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Predators, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,238 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 29c | 1,870$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.69 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 28c | 1,843$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bruins | 71c | 1,843$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.84 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bruins | 72c | 1,479$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.39 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 70c | 691.33$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.93 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Predators | 30c | 467.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.13 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 51c | 414.47$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 71c | 331.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Bruins | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Predators | 30c | 234$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bruins | 61c | 159.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Bruins | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Predators | 30c | 119.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Predators | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruins | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bruins | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Predators | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Bruins | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bruins | 62c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bruins | 72c | 83.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Bruins | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bruins | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Predators | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Predators | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bruins | 57c | 34.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Bruins | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…2ca9backed Bruins | 72c | 31.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Bruins | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bruins | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.