TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof GAM Esports, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd462…eaecbacked GAM Esports38c13,958$5,303 inLost-$5,302.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming62c13,833$8,577 inWon+$5,256.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming63c1,701$1,064 inWon+$637.391,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed GAM Esports4c976$35 inLost-$35.4489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed GAM Esports41c742.47$304 inLost-$3043938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming77c693.42$537 inWon+$156.371,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GAM Esports40c641.01$254 inLost-$254.282,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed GAM Esports33c535.38$177 inLost-$176.6829927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked GAM Esports35c399.04$138 inLost-$138.1628837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed GAM Esports39c389.58$152 inLost-$151.9444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b54…97b8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming61c388.52$237 inWon+$151.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked GAM Esports35c360.64$126 inLost-$126560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming67c293.39$196 inWon+$97.1513136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked GAM Esports33c180.85$59 inLost-$59.4113525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming67c150.07$100 inWon+$49.6385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming63c125$79 inWon+$46.254654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming60c122.08$73 inWon+$49.026144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming69c115$79 inWon+$35.6537647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming61c98.36$60 inWon+$38.367251.4%37 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…600ebacked GAM Esports35c97.17$34 inLost-$33.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed GAM Esports40c95.97$38 inLost-$38.021,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed GAM Esports35c90.34$32 inLost-$31.621,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed GAM Esports35c86.94$30 inLost-$30.4338034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming61c59.99$37 inWon+$23.46250%31 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed GAM Esports35c57.84$20 inLost-$20.3825547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked GAM Esports38c57.15$22 inLost-$2211750.4%59 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming72c55.34$40 inWon+$15.346051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked GAM Esports38c53$20 inLost-$20.1414544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming62c36.87$23 inWon+$14.0122356.5%126 W · 97 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913f…916dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming64c31.37$20 inWon+$11.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming65c29$19 inWon+$10.1575142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming62c25.13$16 inWon+$9.6125639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming61c24.75$15 inWon+$9.659254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.