Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1fef0944580825219b2a3295a7d8c0e51e23d16163555880c46673d303945f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,888$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.38 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 985.4$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.99 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 46c | 494.87$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 52c | 465.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 425$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 55c | 290.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 266.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 50c | 233.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 55c | 180.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 116.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 97.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 75.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 50c | 41.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 26.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 45c | 26.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 50c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 138.5this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford CardinalPittsburgh Panthers won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 136.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-4.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-5.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.